Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.000147 0.000163 0.000180 0.000199 0.000221 0.000244 0.000272
2025-08-31 0.000114 0.000136 0.000161 0.000192 0.000231 0.000276 0.000334
2025-09-07 0.000097 0.000122 0.000152 0.000193 0.000245 0.000312 0.000403
2025-09-14 0.000087 0.000113 0.000148 0.000196 0.000262 0.000351 0.000480
2025-09-21 0.000076 0.000103 0.000140 0.000193 0.000268 0.000375 0.000538
2025-09-28 0.000067 0.000093 0.000130 0.000185 0.000268 0.000388 0.000582
2025-10-05 0.000062 0.000089 0.000127 0.000188 0.000281 0.000423 0.000660
2025-10-12 0.000058 0.000086 0.000127 0.000192 0.000297 0.000463 0.000752
2025-10-19 0.000053 0.000081 0.000122 0.000189 0.000302 0.000485 0.000816
2025-10-26 0.000050 0.000078 0.000120 0.000192 0.000315 0.000521 0.000910
2025-11-02 0.000047 0.000073 0.000116 0.000190 0.000319 0.000544 0.000982
2025-11-09 0.000044 0.000070 0.000113 0.000189 0.000326 0.000571 0.001063
2025-11-16 0.000040 0.000066 0.000108 0.000186 0.000329 0.000593 0.001141
2025-11-23 0.000037 0.000061 0.000103 0.000180 0.000326 0.000603 0.001199
2025-11-30 0.000035 0.000059 0.000100 0.000180 0.000335 0.000638 0.001313
2025-12-07 0.000033 0.000057 0.000100 0.000183 0.000350 0.000686 0.001464
2025-12-14 0.000031 0.000054 0.000096 0.000180 0.000352 0.000707 0.001555
2025-12-21 0.000028 0.000050 0.000091 0.000173 0.000345 0.000710 0.001607
2025-12-28 0.000027 0.000049 0.000090 0.000175 0.000358 0.000757 0.001769
2026-01-04 0.000026 0.000049 0.000090 0.000179 0.000376 0.000815 0.001970
2026-01-11 0.000025 0.000046 0.000088 0.000177 0.000378 0.000839 0.002087
2026-01-18 0.000024 0.000045 0.000087 0.000179 0.000391 0.000892 0.002289
2026-01-25 0.000023 0.000043 0.000085 0.000177 0.000395 0.000920 0.002427